S&P 500: Seasonal Correction Starting in August/September?

Benjamin Cowen

Summary

This video analyzes the S&P 500's market behavior during midterm election years, specifically focusing on the historical trend of a potential 10% to 20% correction occurring between August and September. By comparing current trends with 2014, 2018, and 2022 performance, the analyst outlines a pattern of early-year corrections followed by summer rallies and subsequent autumn weakness. The analysis also explores how these stock market fluctuations historically influence Bitcoin's market cycle, suggesting that a synchronized downturn could provide a significant buying opportunity for the crypto market.

Chapters

  1. 0:04Introduction to S&P 500 analysis
  2. 0:37Recap of earlier market projections
  3. 1:24Historical monthly return analysis
  4. 1:48Midterm year seasonal patterns
  5. 2:00Defining market distribution phases
  6. 2:35Reviewing the 2022 midterm cycle
  7. 2:51Reviewing the 2018 midterm cycle
  8. 3:23Reviewing the 2014 midterm cycle
  9. 4:21Summary of year-to-date ROI comparisons
  10. 5:21How Bitcoin aligns with stock corrections
  11. 5:56Potential catalysts for the downturn
  12. 6:21Final concluding remarks and event plug

Topics covered

  • Historical Midterm Year Volatility
  • S&P 500 Seasonal Correction Trends

+5 more topics (full content when you follow the channel)

Transcript excerpt

Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the equity verse. Today we're going to talk about the S&P 500 and really talk more about are we going to see a 10 to 20% drop in stocks starting in the August to September time frame. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on ITC premium at intothecryptoverse.com. And as a reminder to check out the ITC conference that will be taking from November 20th through the 22nd in Miami, Florida. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, the S&P we we sort of provided the outline for it several months ago and I don't know if you guys remember, but we suggested that we would likely have a shallow correction in June followed by a rally back up in July. And the reason that the the drop in June was likely not going to be a larger drop is because often it's not in the summe…