Bitcoin: The End of July

Benjamin Cowen

Summary

This video analyzes Bitcoin's performance as July ends, comparing current market behavior with previous midterm years like 2018 and 2022. The analyst highlights a recurring trend where Bitcoin experiences a relief rally following a June low, often followed by a period of weakness in late Q3. While acknowledging the difficulty of predicting exact market movements or resistance tags, he warns that rising bond yields and historical patterns suggest a potential correction in August and September. He concludes by recommending a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) approach and mentioning his upcoming conference in Miami as a venue for further discussion on market cycles.

Chapters

  1. 0:00Welcome and conference announcement
  2. 0:46Historical context of July returns
  3. 2:16Relief rallies following June lows
  4. 2:36Comparison with 2018 cycle behavior
  5. 3:03Uncertainty regarding resistance levels
  6. 4:11Difficulty of reaching moving averages
  7. 4:19The window of weakness
  8. 4:48Impact of rising bond yields
  9. 5:35Possibility of August and September correction
  10. 5:46Analyzing historical midterm monthly returns
  11. 6:59DCA strategy recommendation
  12. 7:22Closing remarks and event invitation

Topics covered

  • July midterm year trends
  • Comparison with 2018 cycle

+5 more topics (full content when you follow the channel)

Transcript excerpt

Hey everyone, and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today, we're going to talk about Bitcoin as the month of July comes to an end. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and check out the sale on Into the Cryptoverse Premium at intothecryptoverse.com. As a reminder, the ITC conference is coming November 20th through the 22nd in Miami. So, make sure you guys get your ticket. We're going to be raising the prices here in just a few weeks. Also, note that it does include food at the conference, and we're even going to have one of the annual ITC parties. So, if you haven't been able to make one of those, hopefully I will see you there. Link is in the description below. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, this July looks like basically every other midterm year July in recent history for Bitcoin. If you look at monthly returns i…